Wednesday, 28 March 2012

Economic Crisis in Indonesia

Until the onset of the 1997/98 economic and political crisis, the Indonesian economy has grown by an average of 7 percent per annum. The economy experienced a slowdown in the mid-1970s and again in the mid-1980s when the world economy was in a recession. Each time, however, the Indonesian economy was able to come out stronger, as the 'crises' forced the government to undertake the necessary reforms in order to sustain the country's economic growth.

Sustainable development as is understood in Indonesia is not only about economic growth. From the mid-1970s on it has been defined as involving three main elements, namely a sufficiently high economic growth, improved distribution of income and the fruits of development, and national (including economic) stability. This so-called 'trilogy of development' in essence proposes a kind of 'balanced development' in which growth will not be pursued at the cost of creating instabilities and a worsening in the distribution of income. Also, concern with distribution and equity issues should not lead to the adoption of policies that would result in economic stagnation. National stability is important but the pursuit of monetary stability, for instance, should not be at the expense of growth and welfare.

The strategy of development, nonetheless, is one that is growth oriented. It attempts to achieve growth with distribution and stability. Sound macroeconomic policies were adopted to achieve economic growth and stability. For many years, the government has strictly adhered to policy prescriptions that it has set for itself. These include the principle of a balanced budget, a current account deficit of no more than 2 percent of GDP, and a limit to external borrowing to maintain a debt-service ratio (DSR) of less than 20 percent. Distribution objectives were pursued through a policy of developing 'eight channels for more equal distribution' that is meant to improve access of the poor to basic health, education and training, job opportunity, credit, etc. A significant portion of the national development budget has been devoted to the agricultural sector, rural development and the provision of basic needs. It can be shown that progress has been made on many of these fronts. Most widely quoted has been the success in the reduction of the numbers of people living under the poverty line, from 70 percent in the late 1960s to 20 percent in the early 1990s. Gini-coefficients to denote relative income distribution have not seen a significant deterioration. Moreover, those indicators suggest that income distribution in Indonesia is better than in many other large developing countries.

In the case of Indonesia, the crisis has underlined the importance of governance and a strategy of development that can effectively respond to the challenges of globalisation. In policy terms, the challenge to Indonesia is how can it make a credible commitment to maintaining its open economic policies and to good governance. The next section reviews the process of economic liberalisation in Indonesia and efforts to make a credible commitment to open economic policies. This will be followed by a review of the governance structures, in terms of the broad institutional setting and policymaking processes in the economic field. The final section outlines the main issues that Indonesia has to address in responding to the challenges of globalisation.

Exercises :
1. Translate the above reading into Bahasa Indonesia!
2. Give underlines for the tenses that you know!
3. How is your opinion about economic crisis in Indonesia in 1997/1998?
4. How is your idea about the impact to banking?